Bury vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
MKD
1 - 2
BCF
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BCF
1 - 1
MAN
42%
28%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
STO
0 - 0
BCF
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 1
BCF
72%
19%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
GRI
1 - 1
BUR
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
GRI
1 - 1
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
STF
2 - 2
GRI
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GRI
0 - 0
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
GRI
5 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |