Bury vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
YEO
0 - 1
BCF
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BCF
1 - 1
BRO
37%
29%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 1
CAM
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 0
BCF
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
RUS
3 - 0
BCF
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
DAR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
OXF
1 - 2
GRI
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 0
GRI
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
GRI
2 - 1
YEO
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |