Bury vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BCF
2 - 1
COV
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
BCF
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
BCF
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
BCF
0 - 0
MKD
36%
25%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BCF
1 - 0
SWI
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
SWI
3 - 1
GIL
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GIL
2 - 1
SOU
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
GIL
2 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
COV
2 - 1
GIL
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
GIL
1 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |