Bury vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
BPO
1 - 1
BCF
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BCF
2 - 2
STF
41%
27%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
BCF
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BCF
0 - 0
BRA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BCF
3 - 1
POS
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
GIL
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GIL
3 - 0
CRE
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SCU
0 - 0
GIL
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 1
GIL
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 2
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |