Bury vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
WAL
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
2 - 1
HAR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
YEO
2 - 1
BCF
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
CUM
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
BCF
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
EXE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
DAG
1 - 1
EXE
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
EXE
0 - 1
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 0
EXE
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EXE
0 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |