Bury vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BCF
2 - 0
POS
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 2
BCF
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BCF
4 - 1
WOR
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
ROT
2 - 1
BCF
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
HIS
2 - 2
EXE
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
EXE
1 - 4
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
EXE
4 - 0
STE
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
RFC
1 - 5
EXE
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
EXE
2 - 2
RUS
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |