Bury vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BCF
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
7 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 3
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 0
BBU
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
3 - 1
BIR
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1929 |
DER
3 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 3
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 2
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
CAR
0 - 2
EVE
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
EVE
2 - 0
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |