Bury vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 1
BCF
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
BCF
4 - 2
WHU
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
BCF
0 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
SHE
0 - 1
BCF
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1925 |
MAC
0 - 0
BCF
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
3 - 1
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
4 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |