Bury vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
BOL
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
BCF
0 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 0
NTT
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 1
BCF
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
3 - 4
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
MAC
4 - 2
EVE
51%
23%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 1
EVE
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |