Bury vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CUM
3 - 2
BCF
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BCF
1 - 3
SWI
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GRI
0 - 0
BCF
21%
27%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BCF
0 - 3
CAM
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
STE
0 - 1
BCF
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
COL
0 - 2
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
COL
0 - 2
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EXE
3 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
COL
0 - 3
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |