Bury vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
BRI
2 - 0
BCF
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 0
BCF
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BCF
1 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BHA
2 - 1
BCF
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
COL
0 - 1
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
BOU
0 - 1
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
COL
1 - 4
BHA
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
WYC
0 - 0
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
COL
3 - 1
QPR
40%
26%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |