Bury vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 1
BCF
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
HER
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
WRE
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BCF
1 - 0
EXE
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
STA
2 - 1
CHE
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 2
ROT
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MKD
1 - 2
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |