Bury vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
CAM
3 - 1
BCF
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
BCF
1 - 1
WYC
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
REA
1 - 1
BCF
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
OLD
4 - 0
BCF
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BCF
0 - 1
STO
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
BRI
3 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 2
TRA
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
HUR
0 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
4 - 0
SWI
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |