Bury vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
CHE
3 - 1
BCF
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BCF
1 - 2
BRE
45%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
WYC
1 - 0
BCF
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BCF
1 - 1
GRI
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 1
MOR
25%
26%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ROT
1 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CHE
4 - 0
DAG
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 2
CHE
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 0
NTT
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |