Bury vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1930 |
CAR
5 - 1
BCF
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1930 |
BCF
2 - 1
HUL
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1930 |
NTT
1 - 2
BCF
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
BCF
1 - 0
SWA
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
BCF
0 - 0
NTT
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1930 |
PNE
1 - 2
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1930 |
BRI
2 - 1
CHL
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
CHL
1 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
CHL
2 - 1
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
SWA
3 - 0
CHL
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |