Bury vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 3
BCF
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
ARS
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 0
BCF
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 2
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRI
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 1
CHL
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
CHL
0 - 3
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |