Bury vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BCF
3 - 1
COV
40%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 1
BCF
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STE
3 - 3
BCF
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 3
WYC
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CUM
0 - 3
NOT
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CUM
0 - 2
YEO
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DAG
3 - 0
CUM
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CUM
0 - 1
LEY
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |