Bury vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 0
BCF
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 2
WRE
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
0 - 3
LEI
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WYC
4 - 0
BCF
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 0
STF
43%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CUM
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 1
CUM
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WRE
0 - 1
CUM
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 3
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |