Bury vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1926 |
SHE
3 - 1
BCF
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1926 |
BIR
2 - 3
BCF
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
BOL
3 - 2
BCF
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
BCF
3 - 1
BBU
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
BCF
1 - 0
EVE
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1926 |
CAR
4 - 1
BBU
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1926 |
CAR
1 - 2
HUR
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
SHE
11 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |