Bury vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 1
STE
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 3
BCF
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
WYC
0 - 0
BCF
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 1
STA
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 1
PLY
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
3 - 0
BUR
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 0
YOR
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 0
OPA
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
BUR
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
QPR
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |