EFL Cup 1/64
Global 5-2
Bury vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 0
HUR
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
QPR
0 - 1
BCF
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
BCF
0 - 1
IPS
22%
28%
50%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
SHE
3 - 0
BCF
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
BUR
2 - 1
BRO
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
BUR
2 - 1
PLY
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
OLD
3 - 3
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
BOU
2 - 1
BUR
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
BUR
2 - 1
FUL
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |