Bury vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
LEI
0 - 2
BCF
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
LIV
0 - 1
BCF
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 3
MUD
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
ARS
6 - 1
BCF
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1925 |
WBA
4 - 0
BCF
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 2
TOT
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1925 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
WBA
5 - 3
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
SHE
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1925 |
SUN
2 - 2
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |