Bury vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
WEY
2 - 2
BCF
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
BCF
1 - 0
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 3
BCF
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
BCF
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BCF
2 - 1
BOS
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 3
BRO
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
BRO
1 - 0
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
WYC
0 - 2
BRO
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WRE
2 - 0
BRO
43%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BRO
0 - 0
MAC
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |