Bury vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 0
BCF
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BCF
1 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BHA
2 - 1
BCF
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BCF
0 - 4
NOT
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
BCF
1 - 1
OLD
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 0
STO
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
BPO
1 - 3
BRE
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 0
WYC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
WRE
0 - 3
BRE
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |