Bury vs Bolton Wanderers analysis

Bury Bolton Wanderers
76 ELO 83
16.5% Tilt 4.5%
977º General ELO ranking 459º
46º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
48.1%
Bury
22.5%
Draw
29.5%
Bolton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
Bury
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.5%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bury
-3%
-6%
Bolton Wanderers

ELO progression

Bury
Bolton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bury
Bury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 1929
BIR
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Bury
BCF
51%
23%
26%
77 78 1 0
20 Apr. 1929
BCF
Bury
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
50%
22%
28%
77 80 3 0
13 Apr. 1929
HUR
Huddersfield Town
0 - 2
Bury
BCF
64%
20%
16%
76 84 8 +1
06 Apr. 1929
BCF
Bury
1 - 2
Everton
EVE
49%
22%
29%
76 82 6 0
01 Apr. 1929
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 0
Bury
BCF
50%
23%
27%
77 76 1 -1

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 1929
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
46%
23%
30%
83 77 6 0
27 Apr. 1929
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
65%
18%
17%
83 77 6 0
20 Apr. 1929
BUR
Burnley
3 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
54%
21%
25%
83 77 6 0
17 Apr. 1929
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
53%
22%
25%
83 83 0 0
13 Apr. 1929
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
60%
21%
19%
82 82 0 +1
X