Bury vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
BCF
5 - 2
TOT
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 1
BCF
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
BCF
0 - 2
WBA
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 1
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
BCF
1 - 0
LEE
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
BOL
3 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
BOL
3 - 0
TOT
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
28%
30%
42%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |