Bury vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
SWI
3 - 1
BCF
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
STO
3 - 2
BCF
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 3
WBA
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 2
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
POR
1 - 1
BCF
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
ARS
4 - 1
BIR
84%
11%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
BIR
1 - 0
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
BIR
0 - 1
CRE
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SHE
0 - 0
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
STO
2 - 1
BIR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |