Bury vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
BCF
73%
16%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
BCF
0 - 0
OPA
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1929 |
SHW
3 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
BCF
2 - 2
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1929 |
BUR
0 - 0
BCF
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
ASV
1 - 2
BIR
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 1
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
BIR
4 - 1
SHW
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |