Bury vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1927 |
BCF
0 - 1
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1927 |
WBA
3 - 1
BCF
55%
22%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
HUR
3 - 1
BCF
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
SHW
1 - 3
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
BCF
2 - 0
SHW
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 0
WBA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 3
HUR
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
BBU
3 - 2
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
BIR
2 - 1
LEI
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1926 |
BIR
0 - 2
WHU
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |