Bury vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 0
BCF
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
BCF
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
BCF
0 - 1
HUR
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
PNE
1 - 1
BCF
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1925 |
BBU
7 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |