Bury vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 4
BCF
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
3 - 0
OXF
50%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
BCF
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 3
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
CRE
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 4
BAR
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
CHE
21%
27%
53%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |