Bury vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1929 |
BUR
0 - 0
BCF
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
SHE
6 - 1
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
BCF
4 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1929 |
MAC
6 - 4
BCF
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
BCF
2 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1929 |
ASV
3 - 2
SHE
64%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
BUR
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 2
WHU
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
LIV
4 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |