Bury vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
BCF
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
BCF
3 - 0
TOT
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 2
BCF
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
BCF
7 - 4
SHE
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
ASV
3 - 3
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
LEI
1 - 2
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 2
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
WBA
1 - 1
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |