Bury vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 1
BCF
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 1
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
TOT
2 - 1
BCF
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 1
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1911 |
MID
1 - 1
BCF
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1911 |
SHE
0 - 1
ASV
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 3
SHW
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1911 |
BBU
3 - 1
ASV
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
ASV
1 - 3
SUN
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
WBA
2 - 2
ASV
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |