Bury vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
BCF
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 3
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 0
BCF
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 2
BCF
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 1
ASV
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 2
SHW
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
BBU
4 - 0
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 0
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |