Bury vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
5 - 1
BCF
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
BCF
2 - 1
BBU
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
CHL
2 - 0
BCF
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1910 |
BCF
3 - 1
TOT
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 2
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 3
PNE
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 0
ASV
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
BCF
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |