Bury vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 0
BCF
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 2
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1909 |
NTT
3 - 3
BCF
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
ARS
2 - 2
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |