Bury vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 6
BCF
77%
14%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 0
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
BIR
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 5
BCF
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 0
BBU
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
0 - 4
BRI
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOT
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 2
DER
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1907 |
STO
2 - 0
ARS
42%
24%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |