Bury vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
BCF
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
BCF
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 2
MAC
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
WYC
1 - 0
BCF
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BCF
1 - 2
POS
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
OXF
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALD
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
ALD
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 0
ALD
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |