Bury vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 0
BCF
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
POS
3 - 1
BCF
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
BCF
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BCF
1 - 2
SCU
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 3
BCF
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 0
SWI
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 3
AFC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
PLY
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
GIL
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COV
2 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |