Bury vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIL
0 - 0
BCF
43%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BCF
3 - 0
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
DAR
2 - 2
BCF
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
BCF
2 - 1
STF
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
BCF
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 0
STA
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
STA
0 - 1
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GRI
0 - 1
STA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
STA
0 - 2
LIN
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |