Burton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1895 |
WAL
3 - 1
BUR
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1895 |
BUR
9 - 0
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1895 |
BUR
0 - 0
GRI
30%
22%
49%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1895 |
LIN
0 - 2
BUR
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1895 |
BUR
2 - 2
DAR
31%
24%
46%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1895 |
ARS
6 - 1
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1895 |
ARS
7 - 0
CRE
73%
15%
11%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1895 |
ARS
3 - 2
MUD
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1895 |
CRE
0 - 0
ARS
21%
21%
58%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1895 |
ARS
3 - 3
LEI
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |