Burton Albion vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
3 - 1
LEI
67%
17%
15%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
BUR
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 4
BPO
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 3
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 2
MOR
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
CRY
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 1
STE
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 3
STE
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
STF
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
CHE
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |