Burton Albion vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 2
BUR
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WYC
3 - 0
BUR
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
4 - 1
CHE
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
4 - 2
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 3
EXE
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 3
YOR
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 1
ROC
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |