Burton Albion vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 1
BUR
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
BUR
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 1
BUR
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 0
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
ROT
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CHE
4 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
GIL
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
HER
0 - 3
COL
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CRE
0 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |