Burton Albion vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 2
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 2
BOU
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DAG
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
GRI
2 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 2
GRI
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GRI
0 - 3
GUL
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
GRI
2 - 2
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
GRI
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |