Burton Albion vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
DAG
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
WIG
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 1
BUR
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 0
STO
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PLY
3 - 0
EXE
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 2
BOU
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
OPA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
WES
0 - 1
EXE
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 2
SWA
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |