FA Cup 1/128
Global 5-3
Burton Albion vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GIL
4 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
BRO
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 3
GUI
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 1
ALT
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COR
2 - 5
ALT
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BIS
1 - 1
ALT
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |