Burton Albion vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
DAG
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 2
BUR
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
BUR
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 3
ALT
65%
19%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALD
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 2
BRA
34%
29%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
WYC
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 1
HEN
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DAG
0 - 0
ALD
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |