Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Bursaspor vs Gençlerbirliği SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bursaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
RIZ
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BJK
3 - 2
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
IST
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gençlerbirliği SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
SIV
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
GEN
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
ESK
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 0
ESK
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |